India will probably continue exports of wheat and rice despite worries over output because of poor monsoon rains, Food Minister KV Thomas said recently, as the country has ample stocks from last year’s harvest and wants to stabilize trade policy.
India, the world’s second-biggest producer of rice and wheat, has received 8% lower rainfall than average since the beginning of the monsoon season on 1 June in what has turned out to be a drought year.
“We are working on a mechanism to have a stable export-import policy on select farm commodities such as rice, wheat and sugar,” Thomas said, adding, the policy will benefit both farmers and the industry.
India lifted a four-year old ban on wheat and common grade rice exports by private traders in September 2011 after the government granaries swelled. The government has also permitted 2mt (million tonnes) of wheat exports from its own warehouses.
India’s wheat stocks at government warehouses on 1 August were 47.5mt, more than three times the official target of 17.1mt for the quarter ending September.
Rice inventory for the same period was 28.5mt against a target of 9.8mt.
Poor monsoon rainfall in key oilseeds and pulses growing regions is likely to hit their output,Thomas told reporters on the sidelines of a conference.
The expected drop in output pushed up local edible oil prices to record highs last month, while prices for summer-sown pulses also surged, helped also by demand ahead of key festivals.
The south Asian country relies on imports of pulses and edible oils to meet local consumption.
India’s total edible oil imports in the current year ending 31 October could rise 13% to 9.5mt, while next year it may rise by as much as 10% if the poor monsoon cuts planting and hurts yields of oilseeds, said the country’s leading edible oil importer in July.
The country is the world’s biggest importer of edible oils and buys most of its requirement in the form of palm oil from Malaysia and Indonesia.
India annually imports around 3mt of pulses, mostly yellow peas, chickpeas and pigeon peas.